Falls Creek to Mt Hotham Alpine Crossing

[Mark F]

The original link worked for me an hour or so ago. Try https://www.everestsports.com.au/brands/alpine-walking-guides/ or from the original link click News and Media and then select Alpine Walking Guides

[neilmny]

Thanks Mark.

[Xplora]

Take a look. https://www.everestsports.com.au/produc ... bh0b7IjHcc

A lot of money. See how they go. I have no objection with this type of operation. A good use of existing accommodation at resorts. Not sure how they are going to manage a 5 star camp at Fed hut but they must have it figured out.

The link takes me to Everest Sports and that is all a dead end.

Thanks Neil. I have repair (replaced) the link and it will take you to a page that works now. This site also has some good gear for sale and on sale. Saw my Alpina Alaska boots on sale nearly $200 off. Similar price to what I payed OS.

[neilmny]

Thank you.

[Earwig]

A summary of the community feedback on the Master plan is now available on PV's website.

http://parkweb.vic.gov.au/explore/parks/alpine-national-park/plans-and-projects/falls-to-hotham-alpine-crossing-master-plan

Six main topics were identified in the feedback:
•Development of Roofed Accommodation within the National Park (Key issue: Development within Parks)
•Campsite Locations and Quality (Key issue: Non-exclusive setting)
•Track Alignment and Quality (Key issue: Track quality and wilderness experience)
•Visitor Numbers (Key issue: Appropriateness of numbers)
•Project Costs and Benefits (Key issue: Appropriateness of modelling)
•Environmental Impact (Key issue: Development within Parks)

[Xplora]

A summary of the community feedback on the Master plan is now available on PV's website.

http://parkweb.vic.gov.au/explore/parks/alpine-national-park/plans-and-projects/falls-to-hotham-alpine-crossing-master-plan

Six main topics were identified in the feedback:
•Development of Roofed Accommodation within the National Park (Key issue: Development within Parks)
•Campsite Locations and Quality (Key issue: Non-exclusive setting)
•Track Alignment and Quality (Key issue: Track quality and wilderness experience)
•Visitor Numbers (Key issue: Appropriateness of numbers)
•Project Costs and Benefits (Key issue: Appropriateness of modelling)
•Environmental Impact (Key issue: Development within Parks)

Good catch. Time for some reading and absorbing. Not all bad on the first read but some concerns. It still has to pass the pollies.

[Xplora]

This is only a summary and is not open for comment. I am sure a more detailed assessment will be provided to those making decisions. I can only comment directly about the meeting I attended and for the most part it is a reasonable assessment. Some of my words have been quoted and many other aspects and objections I raised have been included. I did note there summary got it wrong in at least one aspect. It seems to have confused the distance of Diamantina spur with the vertical ascent. 'Route distance up Diamantina Spur is 750m, not 450m as stated in Draft Master Plan; also
note steepness of ascent.'

The number of responses received was only 229 and they broke the points raised into 7 groups giving the percentage of responses addressing these 7 groups. This may give some indication of the level of concern attached to the group but it does not break it up into a percentage of those objecting or supporting. The summary does note the objections but then puts considerable emphasis on the positive or supportive view which may or may not be in the majority.

A review of current walker numbers and projected has been accepted and the lack of any real economic review noted. It all may hinge on this one thing. Given the government expenditure is not high (according to the MP's spoken to) it may be an easy right off if things do not pan out but they may also see it as another white elephant which the opposition could use come next election. It is pretty clear the Alpine Shire has no interest in the environment unless it is taking money for a permit to cut trees down.

[Lophophaps]

First impressions are mixed. Most reports of this nature cite the people and entities that made submissions. One exception is that some people and entities may wish to be anonymous. Further, there is usually provision for seeing the submissions. The absence of a list of submissions and lack of access to the submissions is ill-advised and reduces transparency to close to zero. I cannot recall anything in earlier documents advising that submissions would be unavailable in the next report, which is the one just released.

This lack of transparency means that the credibility of the report is greatly diminished.

I very strongly suspect that the lack of a list of people and entities and lack of access to submissions is to avoid the very critical nature of some submissions. My submission was very critical of a number of points, especially the economic modelling.

I have been unable to locate any recent advice from PV that the report was available. Did anyone else not get PV advice about the report? If advice was not sent out as a matter of policy then one conclusion is that PV did not want to have people who made submission aware of the report. This is also ill-advised, and throws doubt on the consultation process. If there was a decision to not advise people and entities about the report, how can we comment on it?

I can only comment on how my submission was treated. Briefly, all my very serious concerns have been watered down or ignored. The suggestions in the report do not address my concerns adequately or at all. The pie charts in the report are not much use; people will comment on that which interests them. I’m not at all persuaded by the form of words on the line “Most people supported (subject).” A popular vote is not an indication of the merit of an argument. Instead, looking at the words and thinking about them will persuade - or not. It is instructive that none of my major points was denied, and as far as I can recall, none of the minor ones.

The report seems designed to have the walk no matter what, and seeks ways to minimise adverse impacts. The FHAC is based on ideology, fundamentally flawed.

There’s still irritating mistakes like “Australian Alps Walking Trail” and too may typos. There’s a premise that platforms are desirable. Adverse impacts have been downplayed – the report says that they can be fixed. A cost-benefit analysis is missing. My submission had several pages of financial analysis showing that the total return is negative. I included a lot of costs missing from the draft plan.

Nothing much has changed in the last 12 months, and the concept is still quite inappropriate for the region and zones. A far greater return on investment can be obtained by upgrading the Dibbins route, overnight at Hotham, and if walkers want to do Feathertop it’s there, go down the Bungalow.

Commercial infrastructure has no place in national parks.

[peregrinator]

. . . Did anyone else not get PV advice about the report? . . .

I wasn't notified.

[crockle]

It is disturbing if PV are merely going through the motions, with a low degree of transparency, sugar-coating or ignoring valid concerns they find unpalatable.
Is is possible to get a copy of your submission Lophophaps?
On the financial side, it's interesting [in a bad way interesting] if they are relying on flawed or wildly imaginative modelling, and then disregarding any submissions touching on this area

[Xplora]

The draft plan worked on a desktop economic model which was based on flawed or imaginative data. It has been accepted they need to review this data and the numbers of people walking the track now. There is no way to get any accurate numbers but the camping platforms at Cope Hut and Dibbins give an indication and this was published in the draft plan on page 89. I would suggest this graph indicates the total number for both platform sites and it is not many. I put this to PV at the Bright meeting and it was also in my submission. Backing that up I told them the current walker night number of 17000 represents over 8000 people each year doing this walk based on a 2 night walk. That is more than the Overland track and Milford and it is pretty obvious that number is not walking these tracks. That represents between 600 and 700 people on the track every single month of the year. Take out the winter months and it means nearly 40 people start this journey every day from the start of Spring to beginning of winter. That just does not happen. It was this inflated figure they based their desktop model on and the projected growth to 60500 walker nights (or 20000+ people based on a 3 night walk) by 2026. The desktop economic model was then able to come up with a significantly inflated cost benefit ratio of 7.66:1. My calculations put it around 0.7:1 based on numbers which were also exaggerated upward (estimating from the camping platform usage and doubling it) and using the same growth figure the draft plan has. This knocked their socks off and left them speechless at the meeting. Like I said, they have agreed to review the data. I don't see a whitewash just yet as they would have to justify figures in the next part of the plan which we are still waiting for, the proper economic model. I am sure they have taken careful note of those submissions indicating a dodgy economic model. Likely we are still waiting because they no way around it.

[Lophophaps]

Xplora, thanks for that information. I did something similar. Here are three points from my submission.

6.21 The DMP says that 60,500 walker nights give $14.3 million benefit, so 36,500 walker nights (or 9100 walkers) gives $8.6 million a year. Or the average spend of $137 a day (DMP page 84) can be applied. This gives nine days for the trip (two before and two after) equals (36,500 X 9 X 137)/4 equals $11 million. So using the flawed DMP rate a benefit of $8-11 million may be possible. However, it seems to me very unlikely that the number of walkers will reach 9100. This is more than the OLT, a long-established walk in spectacular scenery. It's hard to envisage more than perhaps 2000 people a year on average doing FHAC in the first 10 years. If so, then the income is around $1.9 million a year or 10 X $1.9 million equals $19 million for 10 years. Using the real start figure of 800 overnights a year gives an average of about half the DMP figure: income $4-6 million.

6.27 Page 94 and 95 have costs, a travesty. The figures are in a small, thin, faded font, in breach, and are actionable. This format in a legal document would be invalid due to lack of clarity. The reason that the figures are faded very much seems to be that the figures are outrageous. Paying $20,000 or $50,000 for a track marker is insane. Paying $574,000 for one camping platform defies belief. Or is it yet more muddy words from McGregor Coxall? To say that a platform costs this much means … words fail me. An idea. Save $574,000 on a platform and let people camp on the grass. The camping grounds cost $250,000, also unnecessary. Just let it be! The structure costs seem to be quite high. The format is opaque. For example, one iconic track marker has a rate per unit of $50,000, construction costs of $50,000 and a total of $82,000. McGregor Coxall's maths seems suss. These costs are unreal, massive expenditure for limited gains. The only things that need to be done are some track maintenance near Westons Hut and other places, and revegetation of the fire and other scars at Federation Hut.Assume that the easier FHAC via Swindlers Spur route attracts 1000 people. This is probably unachievable, but say it is so. Page 84 of the DMP says that visitors spend $137/night. So nine days in the region (two before, the FHAC, two after), by 137 equals $1233 spent by each person. For 1000 people this is $1.2 million. Over 10 years this is $12 million. Total cost for 10 years $59 million, income $12 million. The table on page 92 is laughable.

6.28 So the shortfall is conservatively about $30-40 million over 10 years, or $3-4 million a year. Call it 100 jobs. Jobs are subsidised at about $3-400,000 each a year, expensive and ouchies. Is this the best regional use of state funds? I think not. Where is the business case?

*** ends

In brief, I totally destroyed the DMP economic purported factual basis and reasoning. The recent document says that they will look into this, no hint of criticisms like mine; I'm aware of others. Perhaps we can hope that sanity will prevail. If not and the track is built I'm on record as saying it's a hazard for less experienced walkers. If necessary I will so advise the Coroner. In early 2016 I advised the Coroner about a possible death due to negligence at a hospital. A person died and now I am giving evidence.

[Lophophaps]

Can anyone recall DMP advice saying that submissions would or would not be made public? Or that even a list would or would not be made public? Does anyone think it acceptable for the submission details to be secret?

[paidal_chalne_vala]

I sent in a 7,000 word submission and never heard from PV again.I get the feeling it is all a done deal , like that visitor centre at Seal Rocks was, at Phillip Island. That came unstuck care of mother nature and bad weather if I recall rightly and the place was abandoned.

[Xplora]

I sent in a 7,000 word submission and never heard from PV again.I get the feeling it is all a done deal , like that visitor centre at Seal Rocks was, at Phillip Island. That came unstuck care of mother nature and bad weather if I recall rightly and the place was abandoned.

I actually feel the other way. Maybe they are having trouble putting enough positive spin on it or getting the numbers to go in their favour. I would not expect to hear anything back until the final is out and maybe not then. I did send an email to the PV in charge a short while ago pointing out some error in the summary but have not heard back.That is disappointing.

[paidal_chalne_vala]

The FHAC summary booklet was full of rudimentary errors that were alarming. The people who put that booklet together had clearly never been there!

[Lophophaps]

The 2017 Summary report of community response to Draft Master Plan says:
"A total of 229 submissions were received during final round of consultation".
Yesterday PV advised that there were over 260 submissions, about 80 of which are confidential. I cannot reconcile 229 and 260.

PV advised that after publication of the approved plans, copies of all non-confidential submissions will be made public, cited in the late 2016 request for submissions said as much. Has anyone seen this?

PV say that they will not make public the non-confidential submissions now, saying it's too hard. Que? If this information will be public in due course, why not now? I'm puzzled as to why PV will not make the non-confidential submissions public now. Again and again the responses do not stand up to scrutiny.

There's a lack of transparency, with a process that is not only flawed but secretive. It looks like the flaws in the PV methodology will not come to light until after a decision is made, and it's hard to reverse such decisions; better to stop them in the first place.

[paidal_chalne_vala]

I just got back from trekking up the Diamantina spur and camping at high Knob where they want to build a bleeding 'club med' resort made out of bleeding Lego. There is no way newbies who are paying for a luxury hike could make it up that spur even if you put in a chair lift!. It was effing tough and steep . It was relentless. We did it from the West Kiewa logging road to the brilliant campsite at the top in 3 and half hours in ideal weather.That included some rest stops along the way . We set up camp there and went and fetched water (for that night and the next day 's walk over the Razorback & back to the car at the Mt. Loch car park ) from the spring on the MUMC hut track.
When I got to that beautiful scenic campsite on the top of the Diamantina spur, high above the world , I had to lie down because I was absolutely ROGERED!.

[Xplora]

We are still waiting for the economic analysis (not the desktop version provided) and the environmental impact study (again not the desktop version) which were promised. I read the master plan is to be put the the government in the coming months and it is addressing the concerns raised. Once the plan is finalised there will be opportunity for all to write their local member to outline how flawed this process has been and point out the errors (for which I am sure there will be many) in the plan. The comment from PV that there was overall support for the plan may be the reason they will not release the non-confidential submission as I suspect support may be less than they wish to admit.

[Lophophaps]

PCV, I too took 3.5 hours up Diamantina Spur in perfect weather. I was very tired when I reached The Razorback, and had a lot of sit down rests. Unrelenting is a good word. No amount of steps or switchbacks will alter this. My major concern is that spurious advertising will entice bushwalking wannabes on FHAC, only to get hit by cold, rain, snow, blizzard, heat and maybe a bushfire. (Probably not on the same day.) Despite being wrecked on the Diamantina climb we know how to manage, to pace the climb, when to rest. We know how to keep going even when the body is revolting. Wannabes lack our experience, fitness and stamina. Without this wannabes will get into trouble or die.

Xplora, agree. In any case it's not the number of votes aka submissions that count, it's the merit in the arguments. In the mid-1990s when Mount Stirling was suggested as a place for downhill skiing there were about six options. Submissions rolled in, about 600 of them from memory. Many of these submissions were literally pro forma, just add a name, address and date. Nearly all of these pro formas were for the downhill resort and dated on a Saturday. It was clear that these were done in ski lodges at Mount Buller; some said as much. I was advised that these submissions were considered as being one submission, and lacking in anything of substance. Something like that.

Alternatively, there were rather a lot of detailed long submissions based on science, the environment, economics, and the like opposing a downhill resort. These were given much greater weight. Even then climate change was cited a s good reason to have the track head higher. Stirling is still a XC and bushwalking mountain.

My very strong suspicion is that most submissions do not support the FHAC, and certainly not as stated in the October 2017 Summary report. This report is too vague, devoid of evidence. My January 2017 FHAC submission was probably one of the longest, and utterly destroyed the economic case and the basis for nearly all the figures. I raised many questions that require answers. Providing those answers will be very hard for PV. It's fascinating that having shown that the consultants have minimal skills about the FHAC they were again engaged to produce the October 2017 report. Your taxes at work.

[paidal_chalne_vala]

The scenery on the upper Diamantina spur is excellent and the campsite at the top is at present quiet and secluded and has a bird's eye view of the entire area. The rest of the re vamped FHAC can't compete with this scenery except for the top of the You Ate my tongue peak( The *********heads).The Views from Mt. Loch and the Razorback are not shabby either. So the real reason to put the new route through these areas in a circuitous and torturous new route is to take in the fair weather scenery that the undulating BHP doesn't really offer except when you are on the Basalt temple or at Weston's hut.

[Lophophaps]

The rest of the re vamped FHAC can't compete with this scenery except for the top of the You Ate my tongue peak.

LOL! It's easier than a Welsh name
Llanfairpwllgwyngyllgogerychwyrndrobwll-llantysiliogogogoch

As the trees dwindle on the ascent of Diamantina Spur the views get better, a very pretty place. Most other Bogong High Plains summits have a resort or road in the frame, undesirable. All we can do now is to keep asking PV for details and to point out that FHAC does not make economic or environmental sense. Those involved need to be held responsible for wasted funds, loss of reputation and possibly death.

[paidal_chalne_vala]

The ascent of the Diamantina spur nearly ruddy well killed me. I have now gone down and up it . I have done it and at age 48 and in the best shape I have ever been in terms of physical fitness carrying a ludicrously heavy pack I cannot see myself going up or down it again.
I will definitely camp on the top of it again on the March long weekend. Fed. hut that weekend will be horrendously busy. I just need to buy a second 4 Litre water transport bladder for that dry campsite.

[Crooke]

Great Thread. So hard to find info on what is going on with this development. Is there anything left that the public can do, to put in out thoughts on this development?

Just returned from doing Falls-Diamantina Spur-Fethertop-Hotham-Falls walk. Diamantina Spur isnt the steepest ive hiked up but it was the hardest. Was a mild day, with no breeze. It was unrelentingly hot in the sun and little difference in the limited shade.(coundnt imagine a 35 degree or hotter day) Good luck to the guides getting their walkers up it.

Thanks again for the info

p.s no campers at fed hut knew anything about this crazy idea

[Lophophaps]

Crooke, welcome to the forum. Parks Victoria is considering submissions and is working on a final report. A great deal of pressure is being applied to PV to review the way that they have looked at the matter. I agree that Diamantina Spur is not steep compared to other places, but it's unrelenting.

One point that I have stressed to PV is that guided walkers or those enticed by spurious marketing will struggle, and, on balance of probability, there will be a fatality. The people that can safely do the walk now do not need marketing as a motivator or a guide, and the rest are walking into danger, or at least having the odds stacked somewhat against them. I stack the odds in my favour as much as possible. Having bad odds often enough leads to a statistical certainty of ending in tears. Marketing that shows blue skies, happy people and easy walking is far from reality at times. Not often, but poor weather or a bushfire in the wrong place and time means that bumblies will be sad.

I've called out PV on this, asked who will be responsible if there's a death. No reply, yet. If the plan proceeds as PV wants then I'll be contacting the State Coroner advising that a death is probable. Then I wait.

[paidal_chalne_vala]

I am very fit but I could have died of huffing and puffing with a huge pack on my back going up the Diamantina Spur last month. It wasn't that hot a day for summer really, but it was bleeding relentless going up that wretched spur! It took us 3.5 hours to climb up 3.5 kms. Newbies, even without a pack would take double that time and that is where the rub lies. If they don't have the physical power to safely and rapidly retreat up or down if need be, then what?

[Earwig]

The final master plan for the Falls to Hotham walk has just been released. Here is what's going to happen.

http://parkweb.vic.gov.au/explore/parks/alpine-national-park/plans-and-projects/falls-to-hotham-alpine-crossing-master-plan

[neilmny]

You've got to laugh.....or cry maybe

Found this picture of a Common Wombat in the new "master plan" FHAC-Master-Plan-PartA-2018.jpg

[Lophophaps]

Wow, a green wombat-frog. Have not seen one of those for ages.

There's four reports and quite a lot of pages. I've picked up a few blunders. Note the track length to Feathertop and Diamantina Hut placement. it has moved north since the last PV plan.

Razorback.png (104.17 KiB) Viewed 34203 times

The basic questions we have been asking for ages have not been answered. The FHAC is taming our beloved mountains, and this is ill-advised.

I walked on the high plains over Easter, and extracted the following from Cope Hut log book.

Cope log book.png (90.02 KiB) Viewed 34203 times

This is for two nights so there are about 70 walker nights a year on the easier current FHAC. The DMP says 17,000 walker nights at present for the much harder and longer insanity.

Not happy at all.

[paidal_chalne_vala]

One of those Green Frog Wombats jumped out of a snow gum tree right near my tent , the last time I was camping near High Knob. Thankfully it was not one of the carnivorous varieties.
Page 40 ,the Diamantina Hut has moved quite a bit along the Razorback towards High Knob.
This whole thing is full of mistakes, ergo written by people who have never been there and I will for one be sure to act up and stage some civil disobedience if they try to build their bleeding Lego Land Club Med on top of the Diamantina Spur.
I won't weep if and when a bushfire wipes out the whole monstrosity.